跳转到内容

File:Climate science opinion2.png

页面内容不支持其他语言。
這個文件來自維基共享資源
维基百科,自由的百科全书

原始文件(810 × 606像素,文件大小:140 KB,MIME类型:image/png


摘要

This 2012 chart created by user Dragons flight was based on data from 2011. There are more recent studies including Climate Change: An Information Statement of the American Meteorological Society (Adopted by AMS Council 20 August 2012)

Summary of the opinions from climate / earth scientists regarding climate change.

The Doran & Zimmerman 2009 study archive copy at the Wayback Machine was done for a master's thesis and involved a 9-question survey. The 2009 peer reviewed publication that followed the study reported on 2 of the 9 questions. The study found, in part, that 96.4% of "climatologists who are active publishers on climate change" agree that mean global temperatures have risen "compared with pre-1800s levels", and that 97.4% (75 of 77) agree that human activity "is a significant contributing factor" in temperature change. The study concludes the distribution of answers to those survey questions implies that debate on the "role played by human activity is largely nonexistent" amongst climate experts.

The Anderegg et al 2010 source defined a scientist's expertise as determined by his or her number of climate publications. The top 50 scientists considered CE ("convinced by the evidence" in the terminology of the authors) wrote an average of 408 articles each which were submitted to and successfully published by climate journals. Scientists were counted as UE ("unconvinced by the evidence") if having signed a public "statement strongly dissenting from the views of the IPCC." That resulted in a list of 472 UE scientists, of whom 5 were among the 200 most-published scientists in the study's sample, amounting to 2.5% when the other 195 (97.5%) were counted as CE.

That study's sample included 903 scientists counted as CE ("convinced by the evidence"). Scientists were assumed to be CE when in the list of those credited by the IPCC as having done research utilized by AR4 Working Group I. Such an assumption resulted in a list of 619 names, which, after adjusting for duplication, became a total of 903 when also adding in those who signed one of several statements supporting the IPCC.

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 2010 http://www.pnas.org/content/suppl/2010/06/07/1003187107.DCSupplemental/pnas.201003187SI.pdf

Author of chart: User:Dragons flight, March 2012



此graph图片可使用矢量图形重新创建为SVG文件。这具有很多好处;更多信息请参见共享资源:待清理媒体。如果存在此图片的SVG格式,请将其上传,然后将此模板替换为{{vector version available|新图片名称}}


建议您将SVG命名为“Climate science opinion2.svg”,这样在使用Vector version available(或Vva)模板时就不需要填写新图片名称参数。

许可协议

我,本作品著作权人,特此采用以下许可协议发表本作品:
w:zh:知识共享
署名
本文件采用知识共享署名 3.0 未本地化版本许可协议授权。
您可以自由地:
  • 共享 – 复制、发行并传播本作品
  • 修改 – 改编作品
惟须遵守下列条件:
  • 署名 – 您必须对作品进行署名,提供授权条款的链接,并说明是否对原始内容进行了更改。您可以用任何合理的方式来署名,但不得以任何方式表明许可人认可您或您的使用。

Update on December 7 2014

Expansion of comments re upload done today. (A) Change top line to "Opinions of Climate and Earth Scientists on Human Role in Global Warming". (B) Change "Significant human impact" to "Significant" and change "Little or no human effect" to "Little or none". (C) Adjust the Bray + Storch bar so it's 84%/16% rather than 94%/6%. These changes were discussed on the talk page for the Wikipedia article "Surveys_of_scientists'_views_on_climate_change". Changes (A) and (B) are as per agreement on that talk page as of December 7 2014. The adjustment (C) was suggested by user Tillman; user Dragons flight -- the original author of the graphic -- acknowledged that the 94%/6% bar appeared to be an error. As of December 7 2014 the URL of the talk page discussion was https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Talk:Surveys_of_scientists%27_views_on_climate_change#Revised_graphic. Original attribution of course remains with Dragons flight; user Peter Gulutzan (the person doing this upload) made the above changes and hereby grants all permissions to publish these changes under free licence.

说明

添加一行文字以描述该文件所表现的内容

此文件中描述的项目

描繪內容

43e71fd22e1186e37f75e30075d0cfd0dbd647b7

143,208 字节

606 像素

810 像素

文件历史

点击某个日期/时间查看对应时刻的文件。

日期/时间缩⁠略⁠图大小用户备注
当前2014年12月7日 (日) 18:552014年12月7日 (日) 18:55版本的缩略图810 × 606(140 KB)Peter Gulutzan(A) Change top line to "Opinions of Climate and Earth Scientists on Human Role in Global Warming". (B) Change "Significant human impact" to "Significant" and change "Little or no human effect" to "Little or none". (C) Adjust the Bray + Storch bar so it...
2014年12月2日 (二) 21:262014年12月2日 (二) 21:26版本的缩略图1,000 × 800(72 KB)JeffyPCleaned up newer version and shrunk.
2014年12月2日 (二) 20:042014年12月2日 (二) 20:04版本的缩略图810 × 606(165 KB)NewsAndEventsGuyUploading revision posted to EN wikipedia by editor Peter Gulutzan, in which he changed subheading from "Largely caused by humans" to "Significant Human Impact"
2014年7月16日 (三) 17:032014年7月16日 (三) 17:03版本的缩略图1,000 × 822(32 KB)JeffyPShrinkin' the image.
2012年7月11日 (三) 15:442012年7月11日 (三) 15:44版本的缩略图1,000 × 822(65 KB)Hannibal

全域文件用途